Friday, June 30, 2006

Bush & Koizumi visit Graceland

Mark will return to active duty next week, and you won't believe what's grinding his gears this time around. Until then, this is guest blooger John Brodigan signing off with an article that had me stare at my computer blinking...

WASHINGTON - With an in-flight airing of Elvis Presley's greatest hits and an offering of his favored fried peanut butter and banana sandwiches, President Bush brought Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi South Friday to see Graceland.

DVDs of Elvis's movies were available aboard Air Force One, and White House press secretary Tony Snow sported gold-rimmed plastic sunglasses for the flight to Memphis, unarguably Koizumi's highlight of the week.

The Bush-Koizumi tour through the late rock 'n' roll legend's mansion was wrapping up two days of consultations. His visit saw military pomp, the tinkling of crystal at a black-tie dinner and two hours of discussions on Iraq, North Korea, U.S. beef exports and other weighty matters in the Oval Office.

Click here for more...

Tuesday, June 27, 2006

Rush Limbaugh detained at airport, quizzed on Viagra

Hey, it's John. Mark apparently isn't having the worlds best honeymoon, so here's a little story to cheer him up a bit. Hot off the Associated Press...

WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. - Rush Limbaugh was detained for more than three hours Monday at Palm Beach International Airport after authorities said they found a bottle of Viagra in his possession without a prescription.

Customs officials found a prescription bottle labeled as Viagra in his luggage that didn’t have Limbaugh’s name on it, but that of two doctors, said Paul Miller, spokesman for the Palm Beach County Sheriff’s Office.

A doctor had prescribed the drug, but it was “labeled as being issued to the physician rather than Mr. Limbaugh for privacy purposes,” Roy Black, Limbaugh’s attorney, said in a statement.

U.S. Customs and Border Protection examined the 55-year-old radio commentator’s luggage after his private plane landed at the airport from the Dominican Republic, said Miller.

The matter was referred to the sheriff’s office, whose investigators interviewed Limbaugh. According to Miller, Limbaugh said that the Viagra was for his use, and that he obtained it from his doctors.

Investigators confiscated the drugs, which treats erectile dysfunction, and Limbaugh was released without being charged.

The sheriff’s office plans to file a report with the state attorney’s office. Miller said it could be a second-degree misdemeanor violation.

Limbaugh reached a deal last month with prosecutors who had accused the conservative talk-show host of illegally deceiving multiple doctors to receive overlapping painkiller prescriptions. Under the deal, the charge, commonly referred to as “doctor shopping,” would be dismissed after 18 months if he continues to submit to random drug tests and treatment for his acknowledged addiction to painkillers.

Friday, June 23, 2006

PC Update 6/23/06: Greece

Hey Folks,

They charge by the minute for internet use here so I'll make this brief:

I caught a stomach flu on our second night of the cruise and got my wife and I quarantined for 24 hours. We fought it and managed to salvage our excursion into Croatia. I'm feeling better now.

Robyn however, is not so lucky. She caught the bug shortly after I did and was hospitalized today in Cofu, Greece (Day 4 of the cruise). Luckily there happens to be a clinic that specializes in touring Westerners so there's no language issue and they've been super accomodating. They treated her well and she is recuperating nicely.

I'm in a hotel down the street. When she gets signed we'll either start on the long haul home from Athens (the nearest big city) or we'll reassess our travel plans and try to salvage this honeymoon.

In the meantime, here are some random thoughts and quotes from the trip so far:

"Rome is a Third World city dressed in Gucci." Vatican Diplomat to India

When traveling to Italy, don't bother bringing credit cards because other than the hotel, nobody takes them. Since taking the Euro, this has become nearly an all cash society. Of course I found this out after insisting we didn't need to bring that much cash with us in the first place...and for that bit of reasoning, see the above quote.

Save the Boboli Gardens!

Ciao!

Monday, June 19, 2006

U.S.: North Korean missile fueling complete

Filling in for Mark while he's on his honeymoon is guest blogger John Brodigan

Well, now if this isn't the shit hitting the fan.

And in lighter news, CNN originally had this story as their breaking news, though they changed it for the following later breaking news:

"Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger to be cited for failure to wear a helmet, not having a proper license at time of his June 12 accident."

Way to prioritize CNN. For those of you concerned aboot things that actually matter, here's the story...

SEOUL, South Korea - North Korea has finished loading fuel into a long-range ballistic missile, a Bush administration official said Monday as signs continued that the reclusive communist state will soon test a weapon that could reach the United States.

U.S. intelligence indicates that the long-range missile, believed to be a Taepodong-2, is fully fueled, said the official, who requested anonymity because the information comes from sensitive intelligence methods.

That reportedly gives the North a launch window of about a month.

Click here for more....

Sunday, June 18, 2006

Are Our Cities Making us Fat?

Filling in for Mark while he's on his honeymoon is guest blogger John Brodigan

I was out to dinner with some of my crew recently. One of their girlfriends was complaining about the portions being too large, and how restaurants should be forced to give people smaller portions. The restaurants are making her fat.

I always thought it was people's lack of willpower that made them fat. But, at least in this tart's mind, she shouldn't have to show any willpower. It's the restaurants responsibility to give her smaller portions, because if they give her a large portion...she can't stop herself from eating it. Why should she have to put in the effort?

I think of this every time I hear aboot how America is getting fatter, and was thinking aboot it as I read this article on MSNBC.com. A community that encourages walking and exercise? I can dig that.

Taxing everything that makes us lazy and fat? No so much so.

Here's the story...

DENVER - It’ll take more than public service campaigns to solve the nation’s obesity problem, according to fitness experts who say neighborhoods must be designed so people can get around without their cars.

Virtually everything American society has done for the past 100 years has made it easier for us to be fatter, said James Sallis, a San Diego State University psychology professor, and others who gathered recently at the American College of Sports Medicine’s annual meeting.

“We’ve built an unhealthy world in a lot of different ways,” said Sallis, who was once dubbed an “obesity warrior” by Time magazine.

Sallis contends change will come only when the public demands walkable development, more federal money for parks and bike paths and even a tax on industries that promote sedentary lifestyles (he pointed to video game makers, movie theater chains and even electric Segway scooters).

Click here for more...

Friday, June 16, 2006

Disaster relief firm's 9/11 fraud not prosecuted

Filling in while Mark is on vacation is guest blogger John Brodigan

I really have nothing to add to this other than my absolute disgust. I will leave you to yours...

NEW YORK - As firefighters searched for survivors after the Sept. 11 attacks, heat from the World Trade Center’s smoldering ruins burned the soles off their boots. They needed new ones every few hours, and Chris Christopherson made sure they got them.

The disaster specialist was proud to dispatch replacement boots from the Long Island warehouse of a company paid by the government to manage rescue supplies donated by Americans. Then came the moment that crushed Christopherson’s faith.

His employer dispatched trucks to the warehouse and loaded hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of donated bottled water, clothes, tools and generators to be moved to Minnesota in a plot to sell some for profit, according to government records and interviews.

Dan L’Allier said he witnessed 45 tons of the New York loot being unloaded in Minnesota at his company’s headquarters. He and Christopherson complained to a company executive, but were ordered to keep quiet. They persisted, going instead to the FBI.

The two whistleblowers eventually lost their jobs, received death threats and were blackballed in the disaster relief industry. But they remained convinced their sacrifice was worth seeing justice done.

They were wrong.

Once-secret documents obtained by The Associated Press detail how the company, Kieger Enterprises of Lino Lakes, Minn., went unpunished for the Sept. 11 thefts after the government discovered FBI agents and other government officials had stolen artifacts from New York’s ground zero.

Click here for more...

Thursday, June 15, 2006

Iranophobia in the Mideast

Filling in for Mark while he's on his honeymoon is guest blogger John Brodigan


Mark is more of an expert on what's going on in Iran than I am, but I had found this on commentary and thought it was interesting. Another glaring example of how much of a problem Iran is, how stoogats the Middle East is, and how this adminstrations - for lack of a better word - "foreign policy" has made it that much harder for us to do anything about it.

Sheik Zaidan al-Awad of the Abu Jaber tribe, dressed in a traditional robe and checkered headdress, put on his reading glasses to check a text message. He comes from Iraq’s war-torn Anbar province, but when the sheik met with me in Jordan last week, he was staying in touch with his people by cell phone. We’d been talking about the death of Al Qaeda’s Abu Mussab al-Zarqawi, who murdered four of the sheikh’s cousins. (The sheik said his men then killed 11 of Zarqawi’s followers.) And we talked about the U.S. occupation forces. (“Now Zarqawi is gone, what is their excuse?” he demanded.) The sheik has plenty of room in his heart to hate both the late Abu Mussab and the Americans.

But now the sheik paused. “What’s coming toward us—our real problem,” he said, “is Iran.” The dark eyes in his sun-lined face searched to see if he’d been understood. “Zarqawi is one person. The Americans are occupiers: they will come in today and leave tomorrow. But the Iranian project for Iraq is annexation.” He sipped a glass of juice. “The occupation of the Americans, the terror of Zarqawi, is better than the ‘bliss’ of Iranian rule.”

Washington needs to keep the sheik’s Iranophobia in mind as it prepares for the first high-level meetings with the mullahs since the overthrow of the Shah more than a quarter of a century ago. No date has been set, but if those talks do take place, they won’t just be about Iranian nukes. The future of the whole Middle East will be under discussion. And it’s not only Iraq’s Sunni sheikhs who worry that Washington will sell out to Iran and the Iraqi Shia factions it supports. Many of Washington’s old allies in Jordan, Egypt and Saudi Arabia—who helped the United States isolate Iran in the past—worry that somehow they’ll be sold out, too.

Click here for more...

Wednesday, June 14, 2006

Israel; Keep Your Pimp Hand Strong

A little while back I went home for lunch from work, which is rare for me, and was rewarded with some disturbing news. My fiancé had gone and done something that I thought was not only disrespectful to me but also was just a poor life decision. The details are not important, only that I was really angry, such to the point where as I was driving back to work I seriously contemplated staying on the interstate and not going back to work or my home. At the time her actions made me feel undermined, powerless and frustrated to the point that I did not know what to do next because all of the choices were not good ones.

Obviously I calmed myself down enough to go at least go back to work and decided to deal with the situation when the day was done. However, as drug addled and uneducated as the kids in my substance abuse rehabilitation program are, they are infused at times with a near divine wisdom and uncanny empathy when they are not completely focused on themselves. After a 10-minute group that simply went nowhere because my head was at home yelling at the love of my life or on the road to nowhere in particular so long as it was away from her, the kids finally asked why I looked pissed off. Since I clearly couldn’t hide my emotions I used this situation, as a model for dealing with situations that you cannot control and referred back to the Serenity Prayer.

Now my kids were more interested in the finer points of my home life than they were in developing the serenity to accept the things they cannot change. That’s when one of my more shrewd boys called out this memorable phrase, “Yo Mr. Mark, when you go home to your wife or whatever she is, just remember to keep your pimp hand strong.”

In other words, he was advising me to not let her walk all over me and make her understand that what she did was not a good thing. Retaliation is never a good thing but there are instances when an action requires an equal or greater response in order for there to be some semblance of stability. The opposite would be to placate and appease, and if you need an example of how those choices tend to end, see our current conflict with Iran.

On June 12th the military wing of the Palestinian ruling party, Hamas, ended its 16-month, unilateral ceasefire on the weekend after two days of supposed Israeli attacks. At least 17 Palestinians were killed, including a senior militant leader and seven members of a family picnicking on a beach.

When this story was first reported, most if not all the news stories had Israel as having been the aggressor in this particular exchange. This would make sense as the papers tend to favor the Palestinian cause and any bit of information that tarnishes the Israeli’s while promoting the Palestinians usually gets highlighted. However, as with much in the mainstream news, they only got the story half right and missed the main point.

According to Chron.com, ” Defense Minister Amir Peretz said Tuesday that Israel was not responsible for a blast that killed eight Gaza beachgoers, rebuffing Palestinian accusations that blamed an Israeli artillery round.

An Israeli inquiry concluded the blast was caused by an explosive buried in the sand, not from Israeli shelling on the afternoon of the Palestinian family's beach picnic…According to Israeli findings, shrapnel taken from two wounded Palestinians who were evacuated to Israeli hospitals showed that the fragments were not from the 155-millimeter shells used by Israeli artillery.


One theory is that the shell was planted there and then set off to make it look like an Israeli massacre, which would garner sympathy for yet another intifada. Israel had been shelling certain areas of northern Gaza for weeks, trying unsuccessfully to stop Palestinian militants from setting up and launching homemade rockets at Israel. These defensive maneuvers were followed by a deployment of Israeli commando forces in to Gaza to ambush rocket squads.

Hamas’ contention is that Israel maliciously killed innocent Palestinian women and children and thus calling off the “cease fire” is the right response to an unwarranted attack on a developing sovereign nation. This contention by Hamas is of course hooey.

According to the Age.com, Israel never recognized the so-called truce in the first place. ”It was frequently broken by other factions, notably Islamic Jihad, which killed 10 people with a suicide bomb attack in Tel Aviv two months ago. Since the Palestinian ceasefire was announced in March last year, 48 Israelis and at least 360 Palestinians have died in the conflict. The collapse of the ceasefire coincides with mounting tension between Hamas and the former ruling party, Fatah.”

Hamas has stood by its claim that it does not recognize Israel. Hamas has further committed itself to the total destruction of the state of Israel and to see every Jew pushed into the sea. This is not exactly a recipe for a “good neighbor” policy. As a matter of fact, it seems to me that Israel should use this opportunity to strike back hard against Palestine as, in my mind, Hamas is clearly declaring war against Israel. Now we all now how well Israel does in wars against Arabs so I say give Hamas what it wants, total war.

Of course life is not that simple and so the dance continues. Ireland On-line reports that, ” Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas put off an ultimatum to Hamas to accept a document that implies recognition of Israel, but he insisted that the Islamic militants, who head the Palestinian government, must accept the plan with no changes or face a referendum.

Abbas backed away from the brink of an open confrontation with Hamas yesterday, when he extended his deadline until the weekend.

The delay gave Hamas some breathing room as it struggles with a devastating international economic boycott and clashes with Abbas’ Fatah movement. But Hamas leaders insisted they won't cave in to deadlines.


Israel must continue to contain Hamas so long as they wish to perpetuate pseudo-war in the Middle East. They have a good friend as they’re going to get in Abbas but Fatah is not calling the shots right now. Until Hamas decides to at least stop calling for the destruction of Israel then the Jewish state must continue to press against the militants seeking to murder its people. Israel cannot afford to let Hamas use state negotiations as a shield to hide behind while it continues to kill under a banner of supposed peace. Like my kids would say, when it comes to Hamas, Israel, keep your pimp hand strong.

Thursday, June 08, 2006

Abu Musab Al-Zarqawi Killed in Air Raid

This is great news for two immediate reasons. One, it's good because while it's not the end of the war in Iraq, it is a declarative victory whenever we kill one of the leaders of Al Qaeda and certainly this guy needed to go. At the very least it was a symbolic victory.

The other reason is that now because if this IMPORTANT story, we won't have to hear about that stupid comment made by Ann Coulter, whose sole purpose was not to add to the national debate but to hawk her latest book (and I use the word book loosely).

Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, the al-Qaida leader in Iraq who waged a bloody campaign of suicide bombings and beheadings of hostages, has been killed in a precision airstrike, U.S. and Iraqi officials said Thursday. It was a long-sought victory in the war in Iraq.

Al-Zarqawi and seven aides, including spiritual adviser Sheik Abdul Rahman, were killed Wednesday evening in a remote area 30 miles northeast of Baghdad in the volatile province of Diyala, just east of the provincial capital of Baqouba, officials said.
"Al-Zarqawi was eliminated," Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki said.

At the White House, President Bush hailed the killing as "a severe blow to al-Qaida and it is a significant victory in the war on terror."

But he cautioned: "We have tough days ahead of us in Iraq that will require the continuing patience of the American people."
Al-Qaida in Iraq confirmed al-Zarqawi's death and vowed to continue its "holy war," according to a statement posted on a Web site.

"We want to give you the joyous news of the martyrdom of the mujahed sheik Abu Musab al-Zarqawi.
"The death of our leaders is life for us. It will only increase our persistence in continuing holy war so that the word of God will be supreme."

Gen. George Casey, the top U.S. commander in Iraq, said the hunt for al-Zarqawi began two weeks ago, and his body was identified by fingerprints and facial recognition.


Continued at link

Wednesday, June 07, 2006

Iranian Oil Bourse nearly ready to open

If you couple this news with the recent announcement that the US will try to woo Iran by giving them nuclear technology, it becomes fairly obvious that we, the US, have lost our ability to be a controlling influence in world affairs. We are a contributor but no more than the EU, which is hapless at best. Thanks George!

The Iranian Oil Bourse is in its final stages, Iran's Fars news agency reported Monday.

According to the Fars report, the board of directors of the International Bourse Co., which is charged with establishing the bourse, will review the final draft of the articles of association of the Iranian bourse this week.

The International Bourse Co. was registered last month, with an initial capital of $2,000, and is charged with setting up the Iranian Oil Bourse on Kish Island. The IBC is owned by the National Iranian Oil Co., which has an 80 percent stake, and by with Kish Free Zone Organization and the Mostaz'afan and Janbazan Foundation, each of which hold 10 percent stakes.

Once the IBC finalize the draft, the articles of association will be sent to the body in charge of securities for review.

The bourse will be established in phases; following discussions of the first phase, rules and bylaws involving the establishment, running, equipping and opening of the bourse will be negotiated.

Tuesday, June 06, 2006

Conservatives Hate Conservatism


The nature of political conservatism as I know it with regards to the economy is to expend the least amount of tax dollars for the most gain. If you listen to talk radio you hear this mantra about taxes being too high all of time and the collective wisdom of the talking heads is of course less taxes, less government spending and/or intervention and therefore more cash in the hands of spending Americans. In theory, it isn’t a flawed model. If more Americans can keep more of their money then, as current trends show, they tend to spend more and this cycle should, in theory, create jobs thus expanding the economy.

Conservative voters are also in favor of what they perceive to be the most cost effective solutions to problems, again favoring individual choice over federally regulated programs. In other words, any conservative with his/her salt will say that as a red-blooded, tax paying American, they deserve the right make choices and succeed or fail by themselves without the government sticking its nose into personal life business.

The practicality of the above analysis is subject to debate in possibly a later column but for the time being, take it as read that political conservatives say they stand for expanding the economy, protecting the boarder, the rule of law as it is written, reserved behavior dictated by Judeo-Christian values and of course the ability to make personal choices without government intervention via over taxation.

However, if you bring up the topic of global warming, all of a sudden those same thoughtful and reserved conservatives seem to forget themselves and turn more liberal than Janeane Garofalo on a mochachino inspired Air America rant. This epiphany hit me while I was listening to a typical Michael Savage crotchety-old-man routine on his daily radio program, The Savage Nation. Intermittent with the usual “the-world-is-going-to-hell-in-a-handbasket-and-I’m-the-only-one-that-knows” bit, he harangued people who conscientiously drove hybrid cars for being wimpy, liberal-minded, shmucks and then called global warming the big lie of our day.

Let’s go over this again…a conservative is yelling at those in his audience for MAKING THE CONSUMER CHOICE to purchase and operate a car that is appealing for its cost effective fuel efficiency. Now I’m used to folks like Rush, Hannity and Savage touting the wonderfulness that is driving a gas-guzzling tank while condemning the mere mention of the possibility that the burning of fossil fuels is ruining our environment. I’m used to this bunch crying crocodile tears about not being able to drill for oil in every free space of land not currently being raped to death or being occupied by the world’s billionth mall. As a matter of fact, the line of logic they usually rely on is that it’s an Americans right to buy a dump truck, as Bill O’Reilly once joked, if that’s what they wish to drive and nuts to the “supposed” environmental damage it causes. But in haranguing people for CHOOSING to buy a hybrid car, that was a first for the personal consumer choice crowd.

Clearly Michael Savage isn’t really a conservative. Neither is Rush, or Hannity, or Coulter or anyone that blindly falls in line and touts the message that there is no such thing as global warming and investing in alternative energy consumer projects is the exercise of wimpy liberal America-hating communists. They are not only betraying the core principles of conservatism but they are also running away from the facts faster than a Baptist from a movie theater showing The DaVinci Code.

First off, anyone that doesn’t believe that burning fossil fuels is changing our environment is clearly a dope, a liar or a finely tuned combination of both. Here are the facts as per bydesign.com:

Almost all fossil fuel use is by burning (or "combustion"). Burning produces waste products due to impurities in the fuel, especially particulates and various gases such as sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, and volatile organic compounds. These waste products may affect our environment or people, in harmful ways. We have gone to great lengths to minimize the adverse effects of fossil fuel combustion, and continue to make progress.

Then too, there are serious disagreements over whether some effects of fossil fuel use are harmful at all. In some cases the amount of waste is so small that the effect, if any, is difficult to detect. Mercury from coal burning is an example.

At the other extreme, all burning produces carbon dioxide and water vapor as byproducts. This is because carbon is part of what makes fossil fuel useful. But whether these byproducts are harmful, or beneficial, is a matter of intense public debate. Some argue that they are beneficial, because water and carbon dioxide are necessary for plant life on earth, which is the basis for all life. Some people believe, however, that our carbon dioxide emissions contribute to harmful global warming and climate change, either now or in the future. Those who fear climate change have proposed new government policies to drastically reduce the use of fossil fuels.


Now the true conservative should look at the issue of global warming and err on the side of caution. The true conservative, naturally reserved in nature and behavior, should purport that conservation of finite resources and an investment in alternative, renewable energy should be the solution to even the possibility that we are causing environmental problems with our current methods of industrialization. Instead, false conservatives like the aforementioned Rush Limbaugh and Michael Savage, for whatever reason, betray true conservatism and instruct their listeners, where energy is concerned, to act like Roman noblemen at the feast and on the prowl. And much like our historical predecessors, the behavior is disgusting.

What I really don’t understand in these attacks on conservation and the pursuit of alternative energy is that usually conservatives are the ones shilling for various components of a bullish economy. They are the ones telling us to invest and seek out riches far and wide from Wall Street to Beijing. That is what really kills me here. Alternative energy as an investment opportunity in an expanding economy is actually on the rise both here in the US and in various countries around the world (Brazil and Germany being two big ones).

According to an article from June 3rd in the Arizona Daily Star, there are a plethora of great and wonderful alternative energy projects in the works as week speak, which are leading the way in casting oil dependence into the dustbin of history. In addition, the article states that ,” The run-up in gas prices has softened for now the argument that ethanol isn't economically competitive without federal subsidies, and it has accelerated plans for ethanol plants by farmers' cooperatives and Archer Daniels Midland Co., the Decatur, Ill.-based agribusiness, among others.

Still, ethanol's potential is limited by cost and transport problems and the fact that even those seemingly endless fields of corn in the Midwest are finite. Experts say corn-based ethanol is unlikely ever to displace more than 10 percent of the gasoline supply.
"We just don't have enough corn," said Dan Basse, an analyst for Chicago-based AgResource Co. "If you turned every corn plant in the country into ethanol, there still wouldn't be enough."

That's where biomass comes in. By using other crops and forest waste along with the entire corn plant, not just the kernels, the Department of Energy says, enough cellulosic ethanol could be produced by 2030 to lower U.S. gasoline consumption 30 percent.”


There you have it folks. More and more ethanol plants are being built in the US all the time and many more could be built if people felt bullish enough to invest in them. This would be the most cost-effective solution to divorcing ourselves from oil dependence and staving off complete environmental collapse. Adopting green measures and alternative renewable energy consumer products would be the conservative solution, even if global warming weren’t real (which of course it is).

But alas, the patron saints of conservative talk radio hate conservatism and everything it stands for. They are hawking every wasteful solution imaginable including but not limited to wars for resources, environmental degradation due to mass drilling for ever decreasing wells of attainable oil and condemning consumer choices in favor of the worst possible ones. Like I said, it appears that conservatives hate conservatism.

Thursday, June 01, 2006

United States and Iran: Payoff time

Like it or not, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was freely elected by his people and therefore is the rightful leader of Iran. He’s not Osama bin Laden, a terrorist whom relies on the kindness of likeminded world leaders in order to establish a base of operations (Sudan, Afghanistan etc.). While it might be nice to consider Mahmoud Ahmadinejad illegitimate, spinning yarns about how the mullahs stole the election for their candidate, that’s the same bit the rest of the world has uttered with respect to George W. Bush after both of is dubious electoral victories and yet, the world over is still considered the President of the United States, much to many a liberals chagrin. We cannot seriously purport the policy of not negotiating with terrorists when in fact despite some of the insane rhetoric this man spews his is a legitimate government. That being said, if the US is at all serious in trying to remain at the top of the international diplomatic food pyramid, then it must be a part of the nuclear negotiations, if for no other reason than to reassert its dominance as a leader in foreign affairs.

This is probably a good sign that we are sitting down with the Iranians. Win, lose or draw, this whole affair should reach a natural conclusion. The Iranians will cooperate or we will move toward war. Either way with the US leading the charge it is doubtful there will be anymore EU style lolly gagging with regards to the Iranian nuclear crisis.

The statement by Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice on Washington's readiness to discuss with Iran its nuclear program was expected, as the United States had to find a way out of the dead-end into which it had driven itself.

The Kremlin had firmly refused to vote for the UN Security Council resolution on Iran that stipulated sanctions, saying that there was no alternative to negotiations. On the other hand, in view of the previous format of the talks, Russia's offer amounted to another dead-end. The European intermediaries, including Russia, could not influence Tehran's stand. It was a double stalemate - the U.S. failed to convince Russia, whereas Russia and the other intermediaries failed to convince Tehran.

The new Washington's initiative is shifting the Iranian intrigue to a fundamentally new phase, which may be long or short. Rice said the formal condition for direct talks with Iran was an end to the uranium enrichment program. Tehran, which is satisfied with Washington's initiative, has not said anything regarding this condition.

Therefore, events can develop in at least two different ways.

One is short: Tehran clarifies its stand and agrees to talk without abandoning the right to enrich uranium. So far, the Iranian authorities have said they will never abandon the program.

In this case Tehran would lose the diplomatic game. The United States' show of goodwill and a step towards Tehran, with which it does not even maintain diplomatic relations, would fail to convince Tehran to go its part of the way.

This would put an end to talks, robbing Russia of arguments in favor of negotiations, and clearing the way to sanctions.

An unofficial U.S. source said the text of the UN Security Council resolution on Iran had been harmonized and might be put up for voting if negotiations break down. Sanctions against Iran would be imposed quickly, and all participants in the "Iranian nuclear process" would smoothly proceed in the Iranian labyrinth from one dead-end to another.

The other scenario is somewhat longer: Iran does not say yes or no, which it can do very well, but hints at a desire to negotiate all problems as a package. Russia and the other intermediaries convince Washington to at least listen to Iran's proposals.

Hypothetically, this scenario can have two outcomes.

One, Tehran goes back on all of its previous statements, agrees to halt its uranium enrichment program, and makes a compromise decision that has long been offered by Moscow - to enrich uranium under strict international control at a joint Russian-Iranian venture in Russia.

This may create problems for the Tehran political elite, which will have to explain this U-turn to its people, but the rest of the world will be happy. The United States will not initiate a war against Iran, and Iran will not have nuclear weapons.

Two, the talks take too long and appear ineffective because both Iran and the U.S. refuse to budge. Washington withdraws from the talks, which again brings us to the issue of sanctions. Tehran loses the diplomatic game, and Washington, having learned the lesson of international criticism of its Iraqi campaign, looks as a party that has done its best within the UN framework to avoid a military conflict.

In this case, too, all participants in the "Iranian nuclear process" will move from one dead-end in the Iranian labyrinth to another.

Judging by information available at the moment, Iran does not intend to abandon its uranium enrichment plans, which means that the short scenario is the most probable one.

But one way or another, an outcome is approaching.